Grafton Winners - Tips for Monday, 13th March 2023

Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Monday’s meeting at Grafton. Selections based on a soft to heavy track.

Picture: Steve Hart

Race 1 - 1:05PM BOOK RACE TICKETS @ GRAFTONTICKETS.COM.AU 2YO MDN (1006M)

6. Fictive looked quite comfortable in her only trial running fourth at Coffs Harbour without a whole lot of pressure. By Sacred Falls so should love a wet track and any support would be significant.

Dangers3. North Of Eli had no luck at all in a much stronger race on debut back in November behind Fire Lane and Cylinder. Since then he's trialled on a heavy track and returns as a gelding. Respect. 9. She's Got Teeth started $1.90 at her only start at Quirindi and disappointed missing a place. Have to respect the market there and give her another chance. 5. Eloheh was unfancied but hit the line well on debut at the Gold Coast over 900m in November. No public trials since but if she handles the ground she's in the mix.

How to play it: Fictive WIN ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds) Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 2 - 1:40PM VALLEY PROTECTIVE SERVICES BM58 HANDICAP (1706 METRES)

2. Kennysing rarely runs a bad race so it's worth forgiving his last start effort at Doomben. Narrowly denied in a C2 before that so this is a drop in class. Handles soft ground and has a good chance.

Dangers7. Too Much Heaven contested the same race as Kennysing at Coffs and just made some ground. Can mix her form but handles all conditions and this is also a class drop for her. Can run well. 1. Clay Pan Boogie has struck form of late and switched stables after a Taree win before swooping late to score at Coffs Harbour last month. Have to respect while in form. 4. Critical Thinker is a big query, he led all the way to win over a mile at Rockhampton a few weeks ago. Brings completely different form here and has been effective enough in all ground.

How to play it: Kennysing WIN ($3.10 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 3 - 2:15PM MCLENNAN EARTHMOVING CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2220 METRES)

3. Bring The Boom couldn't sprint with them first-up at Wyong and just held his ground to the line there. Much easier this time and his win came on a heavy track. Expect him to improve sharply up in distance.

Dangers2. Winter Thorn ran a handy race at Taree two starts back and is a winner at 2100m. Inclined to forgive last time and is worth another chance. 1. Mariinsky is one win from 24 and can mix his form. Finds this much easier than last time at Doomben. Has handled the wet previously and is an each-way chance. 10. King's Star was in the market and led when third over 1700m here just over a week ago. Lightly raced and could be an improver.

How to play it: Bring The Boom WIN ($4.20 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 4 - 2:50PM SOMETHING SPECIAL WEDDINGS OPEN HANDICAP (1181 METRES)

5. Miss Super won a similar race here a month ago before a fair effort at Doomben when a drifter in betting. Great record on her home track and likes give in the ground so there's every chance she's in the finish again.

Dangers6. In Fiore ran a handy second on a soft 7 here two starts back before finishing midfield behind Miss Super. Rarely runs a bad race on his home track and is well worth including. 1. Swanston won a couple of races on wet tracks back in September and is fitter for two runs back on good ground. While he's been safely held in those he could be a sharp improver in these conditions. 4. Bullinachinashop won the Walcha Lightning three back and placed in Quirindi's version after that. Much easier here than last time at BM75 level at Eagle Farm. Capable of bouncing back.

How to play it: Miss Super WIN ($2.70 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 5 - 3:30PM MORE ICE COUNTRY BOOSTED MAIDEN PLATE (1106 METRES)

5. Systemic is closing in on a win and he handled a heavy well when runner-up at Lismore a couple of weeks ago. Should be near his top now after two runs back and looks hard to beat.

Dangers1.Bean Rocking is also fitter for two runs in and he was game in third at Armidale last time out. Only seen a heavy once and was well in the market but failed and was spelled straight away. Keep safe. 10. Discreet Lady is a 15 start maiden but has been around the mark of late and tried hard when runner-up at Port Macquarie. Each-way claims. 3. Moggie debuted in the same race as Systemic and will be better for the run where she loomed up but didn't finish off. Whether it was the heavy track we'll find out here.

How to play it: Systemic WIN ($2.10 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: ODDS.

Race 6 - 4:10PM GJR SHEETMETAL COUNTRY BOOSTED MAIDEN PLATE (1106 METRES)

8. Adelaide Fever is fitter for two runs back including a second-up placing at Lismore on a heavy track where she was handy and held on okay. That puts her in a good place to run well again and should be competitive.

Dangers5. Sugar Road may find the trip a bit sharp but a wet track will help. Runner-up in two starts before a spell including one on a heavy track and one at this track. Sure to be finishing nicely. 2. Bowdarcie disappointed on debut but showed a heap of improvement when a solid third over this course last week. If he can run up to that he's an each-way chance again. 6. Shaggy Rogers ran on fairly at Lismore on a heavy last time out but was first-up there so is open to some improvement and has found a wide open race.

How to play it: Adelaide Fever WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 7 - 4:55PM VINES @ 139 MAIDEN HANDICAP (1706 METRES)

1. Mister Hemsworth hasn't quite been up to provincial company this time in but he's not raced badly with a few placings, including one on a soft 7, before disappointing last time. Every chance in this company to be competitive.

Dangers12. Introvert improved second-up on a heavy track at Lismore and he shapes as the type who will relish more ground. Wide gate may not matter in the wet and has to be respected. 8. Dark Prophecy comes through the same race at Lismore and she was quite good late at big odds. Extra ground should also help and she could surprise. 3. American Jazz settled back and made some ground when resuming at Ipswich over 1350m when supported in betting. Fitter for that and extra trip should suit.

How to play it: Mister Hemsworth WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 8 - 5:35PM NUTURF COUNTRY BOOSTED CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1181 METRES)

1. Powder Man settled back and attacked the line in meeting best sectionals to win a maiden here last month and was only second-up there so should be even better for it. He'll be hard to hold out again.

Dangers7. Grandellie has been racing consistently without winning and was favourite when runner-up at Port Macquarie first-up. Handles all ground and should be in the finish somewhere. 6. My Brother Bob had support and ran up to it when he led all the way to win a maiden at Lismore on a heavy track. Should roll forward again and can take running down. 5. Fire Up Bruce was narrowly beaten here two starts back then spelled after going down as favourite in a 1400m Class 1 here in September. Has won first-up and is one to keep an eye on.

How to play it: Powder Man WIN ($3.70 TAB Fixed Odds); Odds & Evens: ODDS.


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