Brad Gray's Tips For Rosehill Gardens (Saturday)

Brad Gray's Tips

SUNGBLUE. Picture: Martin King / Sportpix


5. Whangaehu is deep into his first Australian preparation with Chris Waller but like the set up here and early price about the four-year-old. Forgive his wet track failures. He has bounced back on top of the ground at his most recent starts. Three back he covered ground in a fast run race behind White Marlin and Manzoice before reappearing six weeks later back to the mile at Canterbury where he ran on hard behind Mission Phoenix, where the winner broke the track record and has since won again. Whangaehu looked to get every chance at Canterbury last Friday but he gave 6kg to the winner Tradition who looks a handy stayer in the making in his own right. Draws well, backs up eight days later and last start should top him off beautifully.

Dangers4. Kazalark is on a Queensland Derby path so should relish getting out to 1800m on the back of a second in the Spring Stakes at Newcastle. The three-year-old is still raw, improving with each run. 11. Reginald is a very fit leader on a six day backup with Tim Clark in the saddle. It's an appealing set up in the context of Reginald being the outsider of the field. 3. Rosovo finally draws a barrier so expect him to park up closer in the run. 1. Notions had excuses last start when looking for cover. The race was a disaster thereafter. She's back in grade now third up and did run third to Waterford prior. 2. Secret Glamour brings a different form line and is a last start Sandown winner.

How To Play It: Whangaehu EACH WAY


13. Radiohead has a racing style that invites bad luck but he is flying at the moment without reward. Two of his last three runs have been in Highway Handicap company and he's had little go right. Wedged in between those two efforts was a narrow defeat at Goulburn. Three weeks ago in a Highway at Newcastle over 1600m he got back to last despite drawing barrier 1 and was then forced to check off heels and come widest in the straight. The six-year-old did a big job to run on into second given what he had to overcome. He was beaten four lengths by Knife's Edge but suspect he would have fought out the finish with even luck. Radiohead jumped $7.50 there too. There is arguably more depth to this Highway but not enough to justify his early double figure quote.

Dangers2. Sungblue raced too keenly first up in Highway company and knocked up. He backed that up with a fourth behind Deep Snow at Rosehill which reads well for this. There's a sense of timing about him now third up and the blinkers go on for the first time. He'll make his own luck. 4. The Dramatist never got clear at Newcastle in that same race as Radiohead. He was jumping from 1200m to 1600m too. He's well placed to atone. 21. Golden Gorge shouldn't be forgotten despite needing a few scratchings to get in. He looks ready himself now third up having just been edged out in a Federal at Canberra last start. Highway regular 11. Danzadel and 9. Lumber Dream, whose form ties in with Radiohead, for the exotics.

How To Play It: Radiohead EACH WAY


2. Garza Blanca raced on a good track for the first time in his four start career at Cranbourne last start and he put three lengths on his rivals. The runner up was Greece who won by four lengths herself first up and was sent around a $1.75 favourite because of that. Garza Blanca blew her away, however. It was the win of a colt destined to charge through the grades given it was just as impressive on the clock as it was to the eye. Jason Collett picks up the ride for the Maher and Eustace stable and won't have to spend a penny early to settle in a position just behind the speed. The son of I Am Invincible is well found in early betting but rightly so. Keep following him.

Dangers6. Great Barrier Reef probably should have fought out the finish last start at Warwick Farm. He never got clear. He's even better suited over 1200m as opposed to 1000m. Admittedly, there is more depth here but good tracks look the key to him. His Danehill run behind Giga Kick and Buenos Noches emphasises that. 9. Sunshine In Paris is a last start Canberra maiden winner but she was impressive. The runner up, beaten two lengths, since ran second again at Canterbury, while there was eight lengths back to third. 3. Operative was given a perfect ride by James McDonald last start but he was going away on the line. That looks a key form reference for this which sees 7. Tashi and 8. Felix Majestic rate mentions.

How To Play It: Garza Blanca WIN

Race 4 - 2:05PM TAB HANDICAP (1350 METRES)

The last time we saw 7. Frumos at the races she was beaten fair and square as a $1.60 chance. Disappointing at the time. Three months on it doesn't look so bad given it was by Hope In Your Heart who won two Group Three races at her subsequent two starts before running fourth in the Golden Eagle and second in The Gong! Prior to that, Frumos had no luck when again an odds on favourite. Her short prices were on the back of three explosive wins to launch her career as she skipped through the grades. We've seen everything we've needed to see from the five-year-old in her two trials ahead of her return, working to the line strongly under very little pressure. She has never seen a good track but fillies and mares company, benchmark 78 and a soft gate, she should take care of these.

Dangers2. Zou De Moon is back from the mile and eight weeks between runs but she maps to get control up front with Brenton Avdulla in the saddle. She has won three of her past five. 3. Bella Rouge travelled three deep the trip at Rosehill last start and after looming, she knocked up to be well beaten. That was as a well backed $3.40 chance. Faces another tricky map here but she's a big threat with any luck finding a spot. 6. Thalassophile can only improve on what she did at Newcastle first up when third to 4. Ten Bells. She's well set up to at least turn the tables. It was also an encouraging first up showing from 8. Our Modena1. Ruby Tuesday will appreciate getting back onto firming footing.

How To Play It: Frumos WIN


The gamble is whether 4. Deep Snow can overcome the wide gate but there is enough in the early price to roll that dice. The four-year-old is still very much on the up. He came through a deep race at Randwick second up to justify his short quote at Rosehill last start. He did get the run of the race courtesy of James McDonald, riding a moderate speed so everything was made to order but he put a margin on his rivals. Deciphering the map here is critical and with Highly Desired drawn two underneath him, there's every chance Deep Snow gets a cart across to sit outside of the leader. From there, he looks incredibly hard to beat as suspect there is still more improvement to come from him fourth up.

Dangers: Don't want to underestimate the eight-year-old warrior 2. Highly Desired. He was won his past two first up, beating Showtime Lady in one of those. Typically what you see is what you get with Highly Desired. 10. Sensationalisation hasn't been jumping quickly, which has been costing her. She was heavily backed at Canterbury last start but didn't deliver after settling midfield. Tim Clark looks a clever booking. 8. Divine Breath looks just about ready now third up. She is a proven Midway performer and maps to get the right run. 16. Oh Golly Gosh has knockout claims on the back of a close up second at Hawkesbury while 13. Silk Tie looks well set up herself out to 1300m having found 1100m too sharp first and second up.

How To Play It: Deep Snow WIN


4. Shibli was said to have not handled the wet track last start at Ballarat when beaten 16 lengths. It was too bad to be true, regardless of the reason behind his failure. The six-year-old grey had been building nicely into his preparation prior to that. He hit the line first up at Sandown over 1400m before leading at Flemington six weeks later, knocking up to be beaten just two lengths in a race where Alcyone ran second. Forget what Shibli did last preparation with three of his four starts on heavy tracks. It's best to judge him off his form from this time last year when he was flying. That coincided with a run of firm tracks. He's also won two from three at Rosehill and maps to get the run of the race.

Dangers6. King Of Clubs didn't show up at all in his first Australian campaign despite starting in the market on both occasions. He has since been gelded and resumes over 2000m this time back with three trials under his belt. 1. Zoumon skipped clear at Moonee Valley last start to win by six lengths. Reluctant to get too carried away with that given he found the front at a track perfect for him. His only Sydney win prior was at Canterbury. Still, he finds a winnable race here and deserves respect. His fate will be decided in the first half. Don't think 5. Tampering quite sees out a strong 2000m but he maps to get a lovely soft run again which could see him fall into the placings. No excuses for 2. Smirk now fourth up.

How To Play It: Shibli WIN


Suspect that 6. Soami has returned much better this time back than his finishing positions suggest. First up he made steady ground behind Fox Fighter in a race dominated by those that settled handy. He was then undone by a wide draw at Kembla Grange last start. He clocked the fastest last 200m split in the race despite finishing sixth. Want to trust that form line comparative to the fillies and mares 1200m race at the same meeting won by Starboreta. The boys clocked two lengths faster overall time. The knock is that it's been 68 weeks since Soami last won a race. A run of wet tracks and being stretched out to 1500m didn't help, however. Jason Collett sticks with the six-year-old and he can take up a much kinder position from the draw. Don't think he has to find much more to figure in the finish at each way odds.

Dangers: 1. Rainbow Connection was entitled to win at Kembla last start, coming through the same race as Soami. He just lacked the turn of foot to put the race away. He was jumping 1000m to 1200m second up. Perhaps that just told at the finish. There was just 1.7 lengths from first to eighth in the 10. Starboreta race but few would argue that 11. Amathuba was the mare to follow from it. She covered ground throughout and was first up. 3. Vreneli strips fitter for his first up run and was only beaten 1.5L in a key form race for this. He looks to find the front and give another sight. 2. American President looks to still be on the up but the wide gate and dry track doesn't make the task an easy one here.

How To Play It: Soami EACH WAY


7. Cotehele looked to get his chance last start at Newcastle when a well backed second favourite but it was a deep race finishing alongside the likes of Waihaha Falls, Democracy Manifest, Loch Eagle and Never Talk. Can't offer any excuses for his defeat but there is less depth in this despite being the same grade of race with the kicker being that he's a much bigger price. The four-year-old won second up at Rosehill, blitzing his rivals after getting complete control in front while first up he was competitive in the Silver Eagle behind Vilana. He has clearly returned in terrific order for John O'Shea and all he has to do is hold his form to be in the finish again. Should get a lovely trail tucking in behind three or four speed horses.

Dangers12. Cavalier Charles was brave in defeat behind Fender four weeks ago given that he travelled deep throughout. His fourth in the Kosciuszko was also full of merit. Hopeful that he can park up closer from the better draw here. All of 10. Sur La Mer's most recent form has been on wet tracks but she handles all going. She caught the eye behind Roots at Flemington last start despite being seven weeks between runs. 13. Ma And Pa might be looking for the mile but his last start effort was better than it reads on paper given how slowly it was run in front. 5. Titanium Power was disappointing last start. Maybe he felt the firmer ground? The blinkers go on now third up. 1. Brutality is using this as a stepping stone to get to the Ingham next Saturday. 4. Super Strike and 6. Shaquero for the exotics.

How To Play It: Cotehele WIN


10. I Am Me put her rivals to the sword with minimum fuss first up four weeks ago. Admittedly, she didn't beat much and the race she won is yet to provide a subsequent winner but the improving four-year-old had only had the one soft trial ahead of her return. Even the stable suggested that she was a little vulnerable fitness-wise. It mattered little. The daughter of I Am Invincible has been back to the trials since and she looked sharp, trucking Tommy Berry to the line. She tackles the same track and trip stepping into better grade and takes on the boys. The trade off there is getting in with the 54kg minimum, dropping 4.5kg. Expecting Berry to be positive early to take up a prominent spot again, offsetting the tricky draw.

Dangers3. Key Largo won a similar race to this first up at Randwick, reeling off a big finish before he backed that up at Kembla Grange behind Athelric in the Warra despite racing out of his grade. Getting back on top of the ground has been key. 9. Super Pursuit has spent a year on the sidelines but the former Kiwi has won five of his 12 starts and one of those was a victory over Roch 'N' Horse. The six-year-old has caught the eye in his trials. Big market watch. 7. The Bopper hasn't quite gone on with it like most of us expected but this is his right level and he gets a 6kg weight swing on Key Largo. 4. Lord Olympus didn't appreciate a run of wet tracks last preparation. He could be a sharp improver here first up. 2. All Time Legend has also trialled well.

How To Play It: I Am Me WIN


3. Estadio Mestalla made a huge impression on his Australian debut. The barrier is the only thing that is going to get him beat here as the four-year-old import looks grades better than this company. He's destined string a few together before reaching his level. Over this same track and trip a fortnight ago Estadio Mestalla was allowed to balance up midfield but he always travelled like the winner. Once he saw daylight the race was over and despite being eased down over the concluding stages, his late dominance to the eye was backed up on the clock. Drawn widest, Jason Collett will have no alternative other than to drop him out the back and look for the right horse to follow in the straight. At least we'll have nine prior races to decipher how the Rosehill track is playing with the rail out 5m.

Dangers6. Manderboss couldn't have done much more last start at Kembla Grange. He just missed at the finish but the leader, and eventual winner, Tamerlane got a picnic in front. Manderboss clocked the fifth fastest last 200m split across the meeting in defeat. This promises to be more genuinely run and like the step out to 1500m now. 15. In De Summertime's first up run ties into Manderboss and she didn't see daylight late. The barrier doesn't help but stick with her. 14. Newly Wed is still raw but she's a mare with untapped talent.

How To Play It: Estadio Mestalla WIN

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