Neil Evans' tips for Wyong (Tuesday)

Picture: Steve Hart

Track Good 4/Soft 5 and rail out 3m:

Race 1 3YO MAIDEN HCP (1600m):

We start with the maidens over a mile on a track that will likely just edge back into soft range with some rain forecast. Three runners are set to dominate the market here in a battle of tactics, with metro filly 6. Kingston Charm emerging on top third-up. Has done her best work late from well back in two runs this prep across deeper opposition, and she's well served getting to this trip now and staying on the limit weight. Will park midfield from the inside draw & only needs a clear run from the 400m.

Dangers: Improving 1. Dancemania is a clear threat peaking at his third start having missed by a long head at the provincials 12 days ago. Fifth up, 4. Rabairneach is the other main market contender, hard fit with blinkers going on for the first time. Gap to the rest.

How to play it: Kingston Charm to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 2 MAIDEN PLATE (1350m):

Testing and fairly open maiden at set weights. Like 8. Double Scoop again third-up and from the John Thompson stable at Randwick. Hasn't been far away in two improving metro runs, and any extra ground is a plus being by Group 1 mile winner Press Statement..

Dangers: Watch the betting closely on UK-bred four-year-old 1. Burns To Embrace resuming for a strong metro stable behind two progressive trials. Astern filly 9. Night To Remember can make an impact on debut behind two forward trials; while including both home tracker 4. Lord Bob second-up; and 7. Diva Carolina third-up; in exotic bets.

How to play it: Double Scoop to win and quinella 1 and 8
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 3 2YO FILLIES MAIDEN HCP (1000m):

Intriguing and tough dash for the baby fillies, with most having their first start. Confident supremely-bred Godolphin girl 12. Shaken returns with a bang five months after a one-off debut failure on the Kensington track where the jockey reported she over-raced badly and failed to settle. Has trialled big winning twice in tidy time, and importantly draws to get cover.

Dangers: Major watch on Street Boss-sired 10. Rockabilly Rebel also re-loading for the Bjorn Baker yard off a debut failure in mid January; and won the second of two recent city trials convincingly. The betting will be a big pointer too for Astern filly 7. Infinite Rose who starts her career behind two strong trials for the John O'Shea yard. Similarly, 8. Love And Light draws wider on debut, but has won both lead-up trials for the Waterhouse-Bott camp in dominant fashion. Topweight 2. Manhattan Baby resuming behind a nice trial can add value into wider exotics at big odds.

How to play it: Shaken to win
Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 4 MIDWAY MAIDEN PLATE (1100m):

Another maiden sprint shapes nicely for metro four-year-old 3. Exsensible resuming for a second prep. Was right around the money in handy company through his first prep, and tuned up for this with two trials, winning the latest over 900m. Will roll forward from a low barrier.

Dangers: Ultra consistent three-year-old 6. Soobooco is the logical threat also first-up behind a smart trial win here. Beat all bar the winner in two provincial runs last prep, both times hard in the market, and again comes to hand quickly over this trip. Keep safe 4 Parmenio who draws okay, and is knocking on the door after four improving runs back; while both 8. Young Rebel resuming as a gelding for only his second start; and 9. Amberina third-up; are capable of running in the placings.

How to play it: Exsensible to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 5 CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2100m):

Out over a much longer journey here is ideal for progressive metro stallion 2. Fleet Commander who can go back-to-back third-up at good odds. Improved sharply sweeping home to win a provincial maiden 12 days ago, with something in hand, and is ultimately bred to get over an even longer trip.

Dangers: Naturally metro four-year-old 1. Benaud is the clear threat, and likely to jump a hot favourite. Has been mixing it in far deeper staying races than this, including two gallant efforts in Group 3 company back in March, and tackles this off a plain effort in the Listed McKell Cup at Rosehill 17 days ago. Must respect European-bred 5. Sky Out back in distance second-up for a leading stable after sticking on strong to only miss by a long neck in a much tougher metro BM 78. Huge gap to the rest.

How to play it: Fleet Commander to win and box trifecta 1,2,5
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6 PROVINCIAL CLASS 1 HCP (1600m):

Keen here on locally-trained filly 2.Always In fifth-up, and drawn to get cover around midfield. Has continually found the line well from off speed this campaign, including a strong closing effort at Newcastle just 10 days ago. The step up an extra furlong here is ideal timing.

Dangers: Improving filly and dominant last start maiden winner 1. Queen Astrid is an immediate threat fourth-up, and also suited by the extra ground. Keep safe at each way odds tough mare 4. Oakfield Redgum who worked home okay third-up in that same race as the top selection. Included in wider exotic plays, 3. Monte Outlander fourth-up with a stronger and superior rider aboard; and 5. Thinking Rain peaking at the distance fourth-up.

How to play it: Always In to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 7 BENCHMARK 64 HCP (1100m):

One of the tougher races on the card where early tempo and a slice of luck nearly always play their part at this level. Keen to back smart Capitalist three-year-old 3. Captain Bond first-up for six months. Building a handy short-course record, and was dominant when fresh last time, sweeping home to beat a strong maiden field at Gosford. Looked right up to the mark winning a recent city trial.

Dangers: Plenty of them starting with promising 4. Orlabent who has toyed with his rivals last two outings, but this is a decent step up in grade from a tricky draw. Resuming 5. Silvanito is also right in the mix for Godolphin behind two improving trials. At big odds, keep safe 6. Zanzibar Gem who found the line okay first-up in deeper metro company; while 8. Mr Kennedy off a dominant front-running maiden win here; and 9. Shezanalister fourth-up; can both add value into trifecta and first four bets.

How to play it: Captain Bond to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 8 CLASS 1 HCP (1350m):

It doesn't get any easier here over 250m further, but metro mare 5. Principessa can bring punters home with a wet sail fifth-up. Charged home from a mile back to beat all bar the winner in three stronger provincial and city line-ups before just didn't get the right toe into the finish when running home late on the Kensington track. Will again settle back from a wide gate, and as long as she finds some cover, can produce another powerful finish, especially if the track is chopped up and the pattern is wider.

Dangers: Watch the betting on local 1. Lease who is well placed third-up dropping back from a stronger metro race. Keep safe, too capable 7. Skylight Song who hit the line late here 19 days ago, and is over the odds from a friendlier draw. Respect for talented three-year-old 8. Invictus Lad who has run home hard just behind the place-getters in three runs this prep; while improving 9. Angara is the best of the rest.

How to play it: Principessa to win
Odds and Evens: Odds


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