PORT ADELAIDE VS ST.KILDA
St Kilda have struggled in the last month, with just one victory against 17th placed Richmond in their last four matches. Their scoring has been a major issue, averaging 73 points this season which is ranked 14th in the competition.
Port Adelaide have won 3 out of their 4 matches at Adelaide Oval this season, and score an average of 96.5 points at home.
Since Ken Hinkley has taken over as coach of Port Adelaide in 2013, the Power have an 11-1 record against St Kilda including wins in their last 4 straight games.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Port Adelaide Line (-20.5 pts) @ $1.87
Since Ken Hinkley has taken over as coach of Port Adelaide in 2013, the Power have an 11-1 record against St Kilda including wins in their last 4 straight games.
NORTH MELBOURNE VS ADELAIDE
As has been the case for many sides in the last few seasons, Adelaide have excelled against the Kangaroos and made the most of their chances against the lowly side.
Adelaide have won their last five against North Melbourne with an average winning margin of 47.4 points with their closest margin being 29 points.
North Melbourne is yet to win a game this season, with their 6 losses being at an average margin of 51.8 points.
The home ground advantage may not be of any assistance to North. Since 2022, the Kangaroos have lost 7 of their last 8 matches at Blundstone Arena, with an average losing margin of 51.7 points.
Adelaide's start to the season has been less than desirable, with just 1 win and 5 losses. The Crows haven't scored very freely this season and they rank last for marks inside 50. This is an area they will look to improve on against North Melbourne who have allowed key forwards plenty of chances this season.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Adelaide Line (-28.5 pts) @ $1.87
Adelaide have won their last five against North Melbourne with an average winning margin of 47.4 points with their closest margin being 29 points.
GEELONG VS CARLTON
Geelong matches have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 games. Last week's match against Brisbane was the only game that has gone under the total, which was heavily rain affected.
Matches involving Carlton this season have an average of 184 total match points, the third highest of any side in the AFL.
The last time these two sides met, there was a total of 172 points with Jeremy Cameron booting 6 goals and Charlie Curnow snagging 5 at the other end.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Total Points Over 169.5 @ $1.87
The last time these two sides met, there was a total of 172 points with Jeremy Cameron booting 6 goals and Charlie Curnow snagging 5 at the other end.
FREMANTLE VS WESTERN BULLDOGS
The Western Bulldogs have been the hardest team to tip in 2024, with their fluctuation form from week to week making it difficult to see if they are finals contenders or pretenders. Their blistering start against the Saints after a week of scrutiny is the form expected from a side glittered with superstars, and could be the catalyst for their season.
The Bulldogs defeated the Dockers in both meetings last season by 49 points in Perth and 29 points at Marvel Stadium.
Fremantle have lost their last three matches and their inability to score has come back to bite them. In the last month they average just 66 points.
Betting Strategy
LAY- Fremantle @ $1.80
Fremantle have lost their last three matches and their inability to score has come back to bite them. In the last month they average just 66 points.
GOLD COAST VS WEST COAST
Gold Coast have made the most of their home ground advantage in recent times, having won five of their last six games at Carrara. The Suns have started as favourite in four of these matches and successfully covered the line on all four occasions!
Gold Coast have been the Eagles bogey team for a number of years, with the Suns winning 4 of their last 5, including a 70-point win the last time these two sides met.
West Coast have had a horrible time at the Gold Coast in the last few seasons. They have lost their last 3 matches against the Suns at Carrara and have a 2-6 record at the venue in their last eight.
The Eagles have improved significantly in the last three matches, but the absence of Tom Barrass and barometer and first year sensation- Harley Reid are big losses.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Gold Coast Line (-31.5 pts) @ $1.87
West Coast have had a horrible time at the Gold Coast in the last few seasons. They have lost their last 3 matches against the Suns at Carrara and have a 2-6 record at the venue in their last eight.
HAWTHORN VS SYDNEY
During the Hawks absence from finals between 2019-2023, they have lost 4 out of 5 matches against Sydney. The Swans have won the last two matchups by margins of 41 and 81 points.
Hawthorn haven't fared well at the MCG, with a 2-10 record at the venue in the last two seasons. The Hawks have lost all three matches at the MCG this year by an average margin of 38 points.
In the Hawks five matches starting as the underdog this season, they have only covered the line once.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Sydney Line (-18.5 pts) @ $1.87
In the Hawks five matches starting as the underdog this season, they have only covered the line once.
AFL TIPS AND BETTING STRATEGIES
Welcome to Betfair's AFL Tipping page for 2024! You will find AFL previews, betting tips and strategies for the 2024 premiership season from our team of footy experts. With 18 teams in the AFL, 24 rounds this season made up of 207 matches, the team at Betfair is here to help you navigate the season from a betting point of view. We'll be providing our expert picks for every game and once the regular season is over and we are left with 8 finals teams, the tips don't stop there as we've got you covered for the finals series as well.
Each week, we'll be putting out betting advice for every game of the round including best bets for the week, value picks, lay tips and player prop selections. These will range from margin picks, first goal scorers, who to bet at the line and of course who the Betfair team think will win each game. When making their weekly AFL tips, our experts will look at recent form, statistics from throughout the season, historical trends and rely on their developed betting knowledge giving you informed selections backed up by data.
The latest AFL tips will be posted on this page each week as teams get released for the round as the in and outs of each team can dramatically impact who wins a game of football. This is why it's also important to keep an eye out for late changes teams may swing, and adjust your betting strategies accordingly. For example, if a key defender is out, the opposing team's key forward might be due for a big game.
A great feature of Betfair is that you'll be able to put our tips on the Betfair Hub to use on the Betfair Exchange as not only does Betfair provide expert betting content, we are also a betting exchange where punters can bet against each other. You've got a wide range of AFL markets on the exchange which our tips cover including futures markets like the premiership market, top 4, top 8, wooden spoon and much more.
Our tipping content is tailored to the unique features you'll only find on the Betfair Exchange making it the perfect place to action the tips you'll find on this page. Simply click on the blue and pink widgets next to the tips depending on whether you want to back or lay the tip, and you'll be taken straight to the correlating market on the exchange where you can place your bets.
Not only have we got weekly footy tipping content, but Betfair also has a wide range of AFL related betting articles that'll keep you informed throughout the 2024 football calendar which you can find here. So what are you waiting for? Kick your AFL season into gear with premium AFL betting tips thanks to the Betfair Hub. Play your way with Betfair.
