Craziest market I've ever seen.

infidel
2012 June 05 13:04:10 
caulfield guineas- October 13

Pierro $2.10
All Too Hard $3

All in



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5 Comments

iglesia

2012 September 02 11:29:47

Update:

Evens Pierro
16/1 All Too Hard

Hope no-one took the 2/1!

sg29

2012 September 02 14:01:26

The 16/1 is a complete over-reaction. Disappointing yesterday without doubt, but he simply isn't a 1200m horse.

iglesia

2012 September 02 21:33:35

I thought that All Too Hard was sensational at his first three starts but raced like a tired horse in the Sires and, after what by all reports was a very good trial, both his runs this time in work have been absolutely pathetic. Dwayne Dunn gave the horse every conceivable hope on the weekend but he did nothing. Either he's not interested in being a racehorse or he just hasn't come up.

rawhide01

2012 June 07 11:11:50

Insane prices for an all-in market.

Big punters don't bet 4 months before a race, they bet 4 minutes before when as much information as possible is available.

Weight Special

2012 June 07 21:22:20

"Big punters don't bet 4 months before a race, they bet 4 minutes before when as much information as possible is available"

Not really. They look to snap up good prices on 2,3 or 4 horses.

If Pierro was $5 there would be money for him, then when another horse emerges money for him too.

You don't have to back just 1 horse and last minute bets are usually late scramblers hoping for the best.

Wilks

2012 June 07 10:21:47

G'day.

Nearly as crazy as betting on a 3 yo race in October, 3 months out.

All the best.

Timesman

2012 June 06 17:15:26

Infidel,

It speaks volumes for what they think of some of their customers.

A joke.

Regards

Timesman

Weight Special

2012 June 06 21:48:47

Pierro is one of the best young sprinter/milers over the past 10 years. His price doesn't surprise.

I don't see it as crazy. Just careful because big punters want to back him. The other horse looks a bit short.

When Lonhro was a short priced fav for the CP that was crazy.

iglesia

2012 June 07 13:39:17

When Lonhro was a short-priced favourite, he was in the starting gates and we knew who his rivals were. The difference with this market is that Pierro - like every other colt - is four months away from the starting gates and we have no idea who his rivals are going to be. How do you know, for instance, that Pierro won't have some kind of problem, or a horse of equal or greater ability won't emerge in that time? The last two males who won the Triple Crown (Tierce and Dance Hero) were both in the spelling paddock by the time Caulfield Guineas came around, and, if history is a guide, the favourite is normally at least 5/4 on the day.

infidel

2012 June 07 07:53:26

WS doesn't think it is crazy, when there is no way in the world you won't get better on race day for Pierro, after he has avoided the 101 ways horses get injured, has returned to peak form, has drawn a good barrier, and no spring superstar 3yos have emerged.

iglesia

2012 June 05 19:10:22

I second that - these early markets are way beyond a joke

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