infidel

caulfield guineas- October 13

Pierro $2.10
All Too Hard $3

All in



King's Stand Stakes

infidel

Have you noticed the prices? Sepoy is at 14/1 generally. He's longer than Ortensia- 8/1- and I know Sepoy is better than Ortensia unless he lost a leg somewhere in the desert. Foxwedge is the 7/1 favourite, and I know Sepoy is better than Foxwedge at 5f.

Are they planning on running Sepoy in the King's Stand? I got excited about the odds about another one from the stable a couple of years back, and it did not start.

Helmet

infidel

Does anyone know what his next start is going to be?
Well if that don't beat all. Those europeans are crazy, man- far out. At least that is what the racingandsports story says:

"ARC WINNER DANEDREAM RESUMES AT BADEN


Sunday, 20 May 2012: This will be in the Badischen Unternehmer G2 over 2800m with a field of 10."


Sounds too weird even for europeans- better check before posting. Ah, ha- racingpost says

"Baden-Baden: Grosser Preis der Badischen Unternehmen (Group 2) 1m3f, 4yo+"

Sounds more like it.
Which do you prefer? First past the post is the fairest way; Postseason finals are more interesting.

Reminds me of school in a way; I always preferred the high pressure end of year exam to continuous assessment.
Because I know a team of Abbott/Hockey/Robb, with input from Joyce, is sure to be comically hopeless, and I'm going to enjoy all these non-stop whingers realising it.

This is what I mean

infidel

The whole of Europe strenuously devoted to the breeding of horses for the ultimate challenge- 2400m- but almost no decent 2400m races.

Their top 2400m race is the Arc- best 2400m race in the world, but just one race, and it's a 3yo procession.

The second best open 2400m in europe is the george and Lizzy- I repeat: the second best 2400m race in the whole of europe:

"a race which has been in decline for a number of years and one which Timeform believe needs a major boost if it is not to slip further in the world racing league table.

"Ascot has been successful in attracting overseas challengers for its big races but its stated aim of re-establishing the King George [first prize in 2011: £611,124] as one of the major events on the global scene is unlikely to be achieved if the race's value cannot be brought more into line with some of its obvious competitors (the Breeders' Cup Turf and Australia's top weight-for-age event, the Cox Plate, for example, had first prizes of over £1m in the latest season)."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/blog/2012/mar/26/timeform-racehorses-2011-review-frankel

So the second best 2400m race in the whole of Europe is in decline, has lousy prizemoney, few runners and half of them are moderates.

God knows what the third best open 2400m race in europe is. Is it the Turkey Cup?

Luck- interesting story

infidel

http://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/tv-and-radio/hbo-scraps-luck-after-horse-deaths-20120315-1v634.html
These are the Euros Gai Waterhouse has bought to try and win this years Melbourne Cup:

Galiando
Julienas
Monopolize
Glencadam Gold

Got an opinion of any of them?

You can buy a lot of Euro horse these days with our mighty pacific peso converted into pitiful pommy pounds.

Drunken Sailor

infidel

Dominic Beirne wrote this:

"Whilst weight might stop a train, I think it won’t stop the accomplished European stayer,
DRUNKEN SAILOR – provided the track condition is no worse than SLOW6 – he actually
prefers a firmer surface. If it dries to a DEAD4, I think he will lap this field."

I am confused The form says Slow, 9-4-1-1. What do you reckon, patsy? Has Beirne lost the plot?

Here is the rest of his thoughts on tomorrow's race:

"The circumstances in this race are similar to win he won at Newbury (UK) in May 2011. That
race was LISTED Grade, 2660m, small field – he won by 7 lengths and returned his career PB.
In AU, he has had 3 pairs of runs: in the Spring of 2010 and 2011 and these two runs this
prep. I believe we are due to see the best of him now, judged by his handy 2nd in the
Mornington Cup and he is likely to be fresher than when he competed in Australia in the
past, as he has only had the 2 runs from a spell and in previous campaigns he had 4 runs in
Europe before travelling to Victoria. Watch the weather!"

http://promo.betfair.com.au/dominic_beirne/2012_form/dom_beirne_analysis_2-3-12.pdf




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