joshkayll
There appears some confidence in England and Ireland that the on-going quarantine stalemate will be resolved within days, encouraging O'Brien to pencil in Melbourne.
And while So You Think is unlikely - but not ruled out - to return for a third Cox Plate bid, O'Brien has the Cox Plate as well as the big Cups on his agenda.
Racing Victoria's international consultant, Leigh Jordon, visited O'Brien on Tuesday and the Irishman spoke enthusiastically about a spring assault.
A triumphant return to Melbourne would be a dramatic contrast to the famed trainer's last visit.
In 2008 the three O'Brien runners ran themselves ragged in the Melbourne Cup, prompting a terse please explain from chief steward Terry Bailey, who queried jockey Wayne Lordan's tearaway tactics on Alessandro Volta.
O'Brien and Lordan were cleared of breaching rule 135b, which deals with allowing a horse to finish in the best possible position. O'Brien's other runners, Septimus and Honolulu, pulled up lame.
O'Brien has not been back. "I've tried to entice Aidan back every year since and you could always tell that it wasn't going to happen," Jordon said. "But this time he seems really keen. He said that if the quarantine issue could be sorted out, he'd come."
Jordon said a So You Think return was not as remote as many believed.
"The vibe I'm getting from Aidan is that it's a genuine option," he said.
"A horse like Cape Blanco would be more likely, first for the Cox Plate then the Melbourne Cup."
Cape Blanco won the Man O' War Stakes at Belmont, New York, last weekend.
Jordon said there had been a miscommunication about steps that had to be taken at Newmarket to facilitate the Cups raiders.
He said a paddock at a stud farm near Newmarket, and not racing stables, might have to be cleared so non-travelling stock could be a mandatory 100m from Cups raiders.
"And I've spoken to the stud about maybe moving some broodmares and they seemed happy to oblige."
________________________
It would be great to see a horse like Cape Blanco come here for the Cox Plate and then the cup. Would be interested to hear Rex and Patsy's thoughts on him, do you think he's any chance of coming or will he have other goals at that part of the season?
3200m $6,000,000 3yo & up. Group 1. HCP. Apprentices cannot claim.
Good3 track
1 31202 JEUNE, 14 D A Hayes W Harris 56.5 1994
2 530s3 DELTA BLUES, 4 K Sumii Y Iwata 56 2006
3 s4272 MAKYBE DIVA, 5 D L Freedman G Boss 55.5 2004*
4 21231 SAINTLY, 12 J B Cummings D Beadman* 55.5 1996
5 16121 VINTAGE CROP, 15 D K Weld M Kinane 55.5 1993
6 22421 AT TALAQ, 22 C Hayes M Clarke 54.5 1986
7 s9821 DORIEMUS, 13 D L Freedman D Oliver* 54.5 1995
8 s0409 EFFICIENT, 3 G Rogerson M Rodd 54.5 2007
9 22645 SUBZERO, 16 D L Freedman G Hall 54.5 1992
10 23039 TAWRIFFIC, 19 D L Freedman S Dye 54 1989
11 s6031 EMPIRE ROSE, 20 L Laxon T Allan 53.5 1988
12 48212 KINGSTON RULE, 18 J B Cummings D Beadman* 53 1990
13 s8700 VIEWED, 2 J B Cummings B Shinn 53 2008
14 80031 MEDIA PUZZLE, 6 D K Weld D Oliver* 52.5 2002
15 12281 MIGHT AND POWER, 11 J Denham J Cassidy 52.5 1997
16 12645 WHAT A NUISANCE, 23 J Meagher P Hyland 52.5 1985
17 s3331 ETHEREAL, 7 S Laxon S Seamer 52 2002
18 11127 KENSEI, 21 L J Bridge L Olsen 51.5 1987
19 30111 LET’S ELOPE. 17 J B Cummings S King 51 1991
20 32666 JEZABEEL, 10 B Jenkins C Munce 51 1998
21 93221 SHOCKING, 1 M A Kavanagh C Brown 51 2009
22 87123 BLACK KNIGHT, 24 G M Hanlon P Cook 50 1984
23 07141 ROGAN JOSH, 9 J B Cummings J Marshall 50 1999
24 60121 BREW, 8 M A //smoron//sey K McEvoy 49 2000
My tip would be Makybe Diva but I wouldn't be sure. Of course the race would be ran like it would with these horses in the field.
NOTE: Some jockeys have more than one ride lol
2040m $3,000,000 3yo & up. Group 1. WFA. Apprentices cannot claim.
Good track
1 41111 NORTHERLY, 2 F Kersley P Payne 59 2002
2 7s054 FIELDS OF OMAGH, 3 D Hayes C Williams 59 2006
3 s3416 EL SEGUNDO, 5 C Little L Nolen 59 2007
4 24469 MALDIVIAN, 7 M Kavanagh M Rodd 59 2008
5 7s121 MAKYBE DIVA, 6 L Freedman G Boss* 59 2005
6 s1112 SUNLINE, 1 S McKee G Childs 55.5 2000
7 s4521 SAVABEEL, 4 G Rogerson C Munce 59 2004
8 1s215 SO YOU THINK, 9 B Cummings G Boss* 59 2009
Who'd win in this field, on their form of the years mentioned next to their name, and the way the race would be ran with those horses?
Metal Bender claimed first blood in the Randwick Guineas (1600m) on March 14 aided by a ground-saving ride from Danny Nikolic along the inside when others were steering wide.
While Waterhouse is more than confident Rock Kingdom can turn the tables on Saturday, the Metal Bender camp is also certain the 2000 metres will suit their three-year-old.
"He will be even better over more ground heading to the Derby," Allan Denham said on behalf of his trainer father Jack after the Guineas.
That is also Waterhouse's belief regarding Rock Kingdom.
"He is bred to do it," she said.
"He is the most impressive three-year-old in Australasia and is my Derby horse.
"The Rosehill Guineas will prove that."
________________________________________
Any thoughts lol
3200m $5,650,000 3yo & up Group 1. Apprentices cannot claim.
TAB Sportsbet Fixed Odds
1 11s11 SEPTIMUS, 10 A O’Brien J Murtagh 58.5 4.50f
2 s6270 MASTER O’REILLY, 6 D O’Brien V Duric 55 26.00
3 416s1 HONOLULU, 24 A O’Brien C O’Donohue 54.5 26.00
4 s7946 C’EST LA GUERRE, 5 J Sadler B Prebble 54 18.00
5 sD232 NOM DE JEU, 1 M Baker J Lloyd 54 10.00
6 51s38 YELLOWSTONE, 12 J Chapple-Hyam J Egan 54 71.00
7 9s732 ZIPPING, 16 J Sadler D Nikolic 54 18.00
8 212s4 MAD RUSH, 4 L Cumani D Oliver 53.5 5.00
9 33835 ICE CHARIOT, 22 R Maund M Rodd 53 81.00
10 s8700 VIEWED, 9 B Cummings B Shinn 53 31.00
11 31158 LITTORIO, 17 N Blackiston S King 52.5 31.00
12 s27s1 BAUER, 13 L Cumani C Brown 52 21.00
13 s1540 BOUNDLESS, 20 S McKee G Childs 52 101.00
14 82541 GALLOPIN, 21 D O’Brien J Winks 52 41.00
15 s5955 GUYNO, 8 L Luciani C Newitt 52 151.00
16 s2504 ZARITA, 7 P Hyland D Dunn 52 71.00
17 10915 NEWPORT, 15 P Perry C Symons 51.5 71.00
18 2113s PROFOUND BEAUTY, 2 D Weld G Boss 51.5 8.00
19 12846 RED LORD, 14 A Cummings N Hall (a) 51.5 151.00
20 s698s VAREVEES, 23 R Gibson C Williams 51.5 101.00
21 1s860 PRIZE LADY, 18 G Sanders M Sweeney 51 151.00
22 646s0 ALESSANDRO VOLTA, 11 A O’Brien W Lorden 50.5 51.00
23 43232 BARBARICUS, 3 D O’Brien S Baster 50.5 21.00
24 45621 MOATIZE, 19 B Cummings C Lindop 50 31.00
Who's in your first 4?
WEEKEND HUSSLER
MASTER O’REILLY
MALDIVIAN
FIUMICINO
KIBBUTZ
NOM DE JEU
MAD RUSH
DOURO VALLEY
ALL THE GOOD
ICE CHARIOT
VIEWED
LITTORIO
RED RULER
BOUNDLESS
RIVA SAN
ZAGREB
GUILLOTINE
Emergencies
BARBARICUS
NEWPORT
RED LORD
MOATIZE
Of $200000 and $1000 trophy. 1st $120000 and trophy of $1000, 2nd $36000, 3rd $18000, 4th $9000, 5th $5000, 6th $4000, 7th $4000, 8th $4000.
For Three-Years-Old and Upwards. Standard Weight for Age. (GROUP 2).
No Allowances for apprentices. Field Limit: 16 + 4 EM
No Horse Trainer Handicapper
Rating
1 ALAMOSA (NZ) Mick Price 107
2 ALEXANDER OF HALES (USA) Danny O'Brien 108
3 DEALER PRINCIPAL Anthony Cummings 102
4 FIUMICINO (NZ) John Hawkes 110
5 GALLOPIN (NZ) Danny O'Brien 101
6 GUNFIRE MESSIAH Peter Morgan 103
7 JUNGLE RULER Peter White 101
8 KIBBUTZ (NZ) David Hayes 110
9 LIGHT FANTASTIC Mick Price 106
10 LIVE IN VAIN Peter G Moody 100
11 MALDIVIAN (NZ) Mark Kavanagh 112
12 MISSION CRITICAL Michael //smoron//sey 101
13 SIR SLICK (NZ) Graeme Nicholson 112
14 WEEKEND HUSSLER Ross McDonald 121
15 ZARITA (NZ) Pat Hyland 108
16 ZAVITE (NZ) Anthony Cummings 100
In the Liston I wouldn't be surprised if a fit horse like Jungle Ruler gets up. Is good at the track/distance and if he gets a soft pace he may prove hard to run down. It a mouthwatering race but at the current time I'd tip Weekend Hussler over Light Fantastic and Dealer Principal.
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